Brexit and Trump: What’s Next for the UK, EU and US?
Directions to IGS and public parking options near UC Berkeley
The June 2016 decision by UK voters to leave the European Union (EU) and the 2016 election victory of Donald Trump signalled an uprising of populist sentiment in both the US and the UK. Understanding the referendum outcome and the victory of Donald Trump – which were unexpected by many – is essential. Do these developments reflect a wider trend of declining trust in elites and a desire to shake up the existing order? If so, where might this shift in the public’s preferences lead in terms of political outcomes in the two countries? How will political institutions and party politics be reframed in response to these forces? In the UK, the process of leaving the EU raises constitutional questions about popular and parliamentary sovereignty as well as about the future of the United Kingdom, given that a majority of those voting in Scotland chose the ‘remain’ option.
Join us for this one-day conference examining the reasons behind voters’ decisions in the referendum and the 2016 presidential election as well as examining their consequences.
Opening Remarks
9:15 am
Panel 1: The November Surprise: Donald Trump
9:30 am - 11:00 am
- Moderator: Casey Knudsen Dominguez, University of San Diego
- William Crotty, Northeastern University
- John A. Garcia, University of Michigan
- Paul Herrnson, University of Connecticut
- Gerald M. Pomper, Rutgers University
Panel 2: The Meaning of Brexit and Trump
11:15 am - 12:30 pm
- Moderator: Gillian Peele, Oxford University
- Eric Kaufman, Birkbeck College, London
- Thomas Mann, University of California
- James Mitchell, Academy of Government, University of Edinburgh
- Richard Whitaker, University of Leicester
Panel 3: The Die Has Been Cast: What's Next for the UK?
1:30 pm - 3:15 pm
- Moderator: Susan Scarrow, University of Houston
- Alan Convery, University of Edinburgh
- Ashley Cox, SOAS, University of London
- Matthias Matthijs, Johns Hopkins University
- Anne Richardson Oakes, Birmingham City University School of Law
- Jonathan Tonge et al., University of Liverpool
Keynote Address
3:30 pm - 3:45 pm: Introduction / Opening Remarks
- British Consul General Andrew Whittaker
3:45 pm - 5:15 pm: Keynote Address - "Populism, Immigration, and Electoral Results in the United States and Europe"
- David Brady and Doug Rivers, Stanford University
Reception sponsored by the Hansard Society & British Politics Group
5:00 pm - 6:00 pm
Panel 1
William Crotty, Northeastern University
Why Donald Trump? Keys to Understanding an Extraordinary Presidential Race
John A. Garcia, University of Michigan
Navigating through Turbulence and Troublesome Times: Latinos, Election 2016, Partisan Politics, and Salient Public Policies
Paul S. Herrnson, University of Connecticut
The Races for Congress in 2016: A Tale of Two Elections
Gerald Pomper, Rutgers University
- Interpretations of the Trump Election
- Table 1. Effects of the Electoral College
- Table 2. Influences on the 2016 Presidential Vote
Panel 2
Eric Kaufman, Birkbeck College, London
Trump and Brexit: why it’s again NOT the economy, stupid
Thomas Mann, University of California
One Nation After Trump - Introduction
James Mitchell, Academy of Government, University of Edinburgh
Take Back Control
Richard Whitaker, University of Leicester
Parties, Parliament and the Brexit process: tensions facing parties, government and MPs
Panel 3
Alan Convery, University of Edinburgh
Veto Player, Influencer or Bystander? Scotland’s Brexit Dilemmas
Ashley Cox, SOAS, University of London
Playing the Trump Card
Tonge, Hennessey, McAuley & Whiting
Brexit in Northern Ireland: Consequences and Political Divisions
Matthias Matthijs, Johns Hopkins University
Black Swans, Lame Ducks, and the mystery of IPE's missing macroeconomy
Anne Richardson Oakes (paper not publicly available; please contact author)
This conference is organized by the British Politics Group of the American Political Science Association, the Anglo-American Studies Program at the Institute of Governmental Studies, UC Berkeley, the Center for British Studies, UC Berkeley, and the Hansard Society.